Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Week Feb 28th -

Still think there is more upside.  As of today, Tuesday, market is selling off and we still haven't closed above 276, but I think if we do, then we target 292 +.
* Fund position while relatively high, has room.
* Historically, roaster position at this time of year, is bullish.
* Things can only go wrong (ie, there will be no good news), so, if there is bad news (frost..for example), it will be explosive.
* Brazil has been exporting at record levels (see below).

(as I write, coffee is now 4 cents off it's lows).

Weekly * still closing below 276.




Funds




Brazil Arabica Exports - * record exports for 2010 and first month of January.  Despite Brazil's record 2010/11 crop, there will be little carryover over.

2010 jan through Dec





2011 jan